The 9th tropical depression, which is expected to develop into the 5th typhoon eagle, occurred on the 20th, and the Korea Meteorological Administration updated the predicted path.
The Korea Meteorological Agency and the Japan Meteorological Agency are predicting that Typhoon Eagle will rise to the northeast of the Philippines, and thereafter, there is also a route to the Korean Peninsula among flexible expected path scenarios.
▶According to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s announcement of the predicted path for tropical low pressure section 9 at 4:30 pm on the 20th, as of 3:00 pm on the same day, tropical low pressure section 9 located 550 km north of Palau in the Pacific Ocean will develop into Typhoon Eagle during the day on the 21st, tomorrow.
It continued its northeasterly movement, and five days later, during the day on the 25th, it was located in the sea just northeast of Luzon Island in the Philippines. At this time, the typhoon intensity is expected to be ‘medium’.
The Japan Meteorological Agency’s predicted route announced at 3:30 pm on the same day, an hour earlier, is in the same context.
This area, northeast of Luzon Island in the Philippines and south of Taiwan (Taiwan), is a major route transition area for typhoons coming to Northeast Asia. It’s like a highway JC (junction) for typhoons .
Up to this point, there are not a few cases in which each forecasting model of the weather authority, which is largely consistent, indicates a different number of cases, such as going inland to China, going to the West Sea of Korea, going to the East Sea via the Korea Strait, or going to the Japanese mainland.
▶For the later routes, the European Medium-term Forecasting Center ( ECMWF ) model first looks at a northward movement through Taiwan. Typhoon Eagle is expected to land on Taiwan Island around midnight on the 28th. Afterwards, the typhoon heads toward China’s inland, and it is predicted that the power will weaken. Typhoon tends to greatly weaken as it passes through the land that is not smoothly supplied with ‘water vapor’, which is its food.
However, in the US Meteorological Administration ( GFS ) model, Typhoon Eagle is expected to pass through the eastern seas of China, not Taiwan Islands and inland China in the Philippine and Taiwanese seas.
In other words, it is expected to move north closer to Kyushu in Japan먹튀검증 and Jeju Island in Korea.
Next, Typhoon Eagle is expected to be located in the Shanghai area on the east coast of China around midnight on the 28th. This is also a regular course for typhoons to come to Northeast Asia.
Then, at 0:00 on the 29th, it is expected to reach the Shandong Peninsula, China, a little further north.
In other words, in the GFS model, Typhoon Eagle is located southwest of Shanghai, China on the 27th, northeast of Okinawa Islands in Japan and southeast of Kyushu, in other words, in the southern sea of Jeju Island, and then on the 28th and 29th, passing through the west of Jeju Island, Honam, Chungcheong, and Gyeonggi (metropolitan area).
In this case, Jeju Island and the west coast of Korea are in or close to the right semicircle of the typhoon. Since hurricane winds blow counterclockwise, areas in the right semicircle of the hurricane tend to be more dangerous.
▶However, compared to the conservative forecasts of the Korea Meteorological Agency and the Japan Meteorological Agency, these forecasts that look farther ahead are flexible. Therefore, it is necessary to keep an eye on changes in the atmospheric pressure distribution on the Northeast Asian weather map around Korea until the end of July. This is because typhoons, which are strong low pressure, tend to take the edge of high pressure as their path.
As important as the approach of the typhoon itself is whether the typhoon will send a lot of water vapor to the Korean Peninsula.
The rainy season that lasted from early to mid-July caused heavy rain, landslides, and flooding across the country, resulting in enormous loss of life and property. The possibility of rain clouds due to typhoons returning to the Korean Peninsula without giving sufficient time for recovery should continue to be considered. It is currently in a lull, but as the rainy season is likely to continue until the end of July, even if the typhoon does not come close to Korea, it is likely to affect the rainy season front floating on the Korean Peninsula.
On the other hand, Typhoon Eagle ( DOKSURI ) is the name submitted by Korea among the 14 typhoon committees.
For reference, the Korean name Typhoon, which is familiar to the public, has been submitted by South Korea and North Korea, which are also members of the Typhoon Committee. There are 10 each. write this back
Korea submitted eagle, swallow, raccoon, forsythia, catfish, ant, nari, rose, mirinae, and roe deer.
North Korea submitted wild goose, bellflower, seagull, repair dog, echo, lark, willow, sunset, dandelion, and wings.